Calculate the matrices in Shiller (1991) that serve as the foundation for many repeat-sales price indexes.
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Install the development version from R-Universe
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Most repeat-sales price indexes used in practice are based on the matrices in Shiller (1991, sections I-II), e.g., S&P’s Case-Shiller index, Teranet-National Bank’s HPI, and formerly Statistics Canada’s RPPI. Let’s consider the simplest non-trivial example to see how to make and use these matrices.
library(rsmatrix)
# Make some data for two products selling over three periods
sales <- data.frame(
id = c(1, 1, 1, 2, 2),
date = c(1, 2, 3, 1, 3),
price = c(1, 3, 2, 1, 1)
)
sales
## id date price
## 1 1 1 1
## 2 1 2 3
## 3 1 3 2
## 4 2 1 1
## 5 2 3 1
In most cases data need to first be structured as sales pairs, which can be done with the rs_pairs()
function.
# Turn into sales pairs
sales[c("date_prev", "price_prev")] <- sales[rs_pairs(sales$date, sales$id), c("date", "price")]
(sales <- subset(sales, date > date_prev))
## id date price date_prev price_prev
## 2 1 2 3 1 1
## 3 1 3 2 2 3
## 5 2 3 1 1 1
The rs_matrix()
function can now be used to produce a function that constructs these matrices.
# Calculate matrices
matrix_constructor <- with(sales, rs_matrix(date, date_prev, price, price_prev))
matrices <- sapply(c("Z", "X", "y", "Y"), matrix_constructor)
matrices$Z
## 2 3
## 1 1 0
## 2 -1 1
## 3 0 1
## 2 3
## 1 3 0
## 2 -3 2
## 3 0 1
Standard repeat-sales indexes are just simple matrix operations using these matrices.
# Calculate the GRS index in Bailey, Muth, and Nourse (1963)
b <- with(matrices, solve(crossprod(Z), crossprod(Z, y))[, 1])
(grs <- exp(b) * 100)
## 2 3
## 238.1102 125.9921
# Calculate the ARS index in Shiller (1991)
b <- with(matrices, solve(crossprod(Z, X), crossprod(Z, Y))[, 1])
(ars <- 100 / b)
## 2 3
## 240.0000 133.3333
The McSpatial package (formerly on CRAN) has some functionality for making repeat-sales indices. The functions in this package build off of those in the rsi package in Kirby-McGregor and Martin (2019), which also gives a good background on the theory of repeat-sales indexes.
ILO, IMF, OECD, UN, World Bank, Eurostat. (2013). Handbook on Residential Property Prices Indices (RPPIs). Eurostat.
Kirby-McGregor, M., and Martin, S. (2019). An R package for calculating repeat-sale price indices. Romanian Statistical Review, 3:17-33.
Shiller, R. J. (1991). Arithmetic repeat sales price estimators. Journal of Housing Economics, 1(1):110-126.